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How many copies did Sniper Elite 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 765k–1.2M
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sniper Elite 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sniper Elite 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 674k–1.7M
best case 2.9M (Sniper Elite 4)
Games like Sniper Elite 5

A typical game among these

≈ 674k–1.7M copies

≈ $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sniper Elite 4 at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and Sniper (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sniper + Shooter, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sniper Elite 3
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.4M after Steam's cut $23.9M–$54.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Sniper: Ghost Warrior
2010
Est. copies
≈ 557k–905k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$7.99
9k reviews
Mixed
ActionSniper
Sniper Elite V2
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 632k–1.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
SniperAction
Sniper Ghost Warrior 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 677k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Mixed
SniperOpen World
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372k–605k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
FPSSniper
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts
2019
Est. copies
≈ 384k–624k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSniper
Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction

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