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How many copies did Sniper: Ghost Warrior sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 557k–905k
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sniper: Ghost Warrior and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sniper: Ghost Warrior's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 859k–1.4M
best case 2.9M (Sniper Elite 4)
Games like Sniper: Ghost Warrior

A typical game among these

≈ 859k–1.4M copies

≈ $7.0M–$20.6M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sniper Elite 4 at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (7 of 8) and Sniper (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sniper + Shooter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry War; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Sniper Elite V2
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 632k–1.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Sniper Elite 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 765k–1.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSniper
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372k–605k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
FPSSniper
Sniper Ghost Warrior 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 677k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Mixed
SniperOpen World
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
SniperAction
Zombie Army Trilogy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.5M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction
Sniper Elite 3
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.4M after Steam's cut $23.9M–$54.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction

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