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How many copies did My Cute Commissar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
from 459 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid My Cute Commissar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including My Cute Commissar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–41k
best case 2.0M (HuniePop)
Games like My Cute Commissar

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–41k copies

≈ $23k–$28k after Steam's cut

from ~778 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HuniePop at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 180 reviews in their first month; the range was 66 to 599.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Anime (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Romance + Puzzle + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

H-Isekai Loves
2022
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$27k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
CATGIRL LOVER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Adorable Crush
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$2.99
650 reviews
Mostly Positive
Dating SimHentai
Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCasual
Cyber Crush 2069
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
778 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation
TSUNDERE MILFIN
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
$4.99
367 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Catgirls From My Sweet Dream
2022
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$4.99
387 reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.