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How many copies did Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 93k–151k
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 50k–1.1M
best case 3.3M (Mirror)
Games like Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight

A typical game among these

≈ 50k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gems of War - Puzzle RPG
2014
Est. copies
≈ 606k–984k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMatch 3
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
XXZ
2017
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
734 reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Battle for Blood - Epic battles within 30 seconds!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
806 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualFree to Play
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Clover Tale
2016
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
859 reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayCasual
MARVEL Puzzle Quest
2013
Est. copies
≈ 284k–462k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
PuzzleMatch 3

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.