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How many copies did LightBreak sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LightBreak and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LightBreak's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–14k
best case 137k (Secret of the Magic Crystals)
Games like LightBreak

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–14k copies

≈ $8k–$52k after Steam's cut

from ~147 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Secret of the Magic Crystals at ≈ 105k–170k copies, ≈ $144k–$386k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 37 reviews in their first month; the range was 22 to 166.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (5 of 8) and Mystery (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Time Management + Management, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Secret of the Magic Crystals
2010
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$144k–$386k after Steam's cut $261k–$594k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Time ManagementManagement
SPOOKWARE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut
$4.99
804 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGColorful
In Her Eyes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$9.99
78 reviews
Very Positive
RPGCasual
Game Over - A Musical RPG??
2025
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$14.99
29 reviews
Positive
ComedyFunny
PYTHIAN
2021
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$17.99
33 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRCasual
Once Upon a Jester
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–12k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
$14.99
310 reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Future Racer 2000
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$4.99
132 reviews
Very Positive
ATONE: Heart of the Elder Tree
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$14.99
161 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.