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How big is Curse That Magic Cat!?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 9k–14k
from 346 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Curse That Magic Cat! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Curse That Magic Cat!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 456–1k
best case 15k (Jones On Fire)
Games like Curse That Magic Cat!

A typical game among these

≈ 456–1k copies

≈ $814–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~32 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Jones On Fire at ≈ 12k–19k copies, ≈ $10k–$26k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 7.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Arcade (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Runner + Cats, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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FunnyIndie

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