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How big is Kittens' Maze?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 645–1k
from 26 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kittens' Maze and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kittens' Maze's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–2.4M
best case 2.4M (A Hat in Time)
Games like Kittens' Maze

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–2.4M copies

≈ $11.1M–$20.5M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Hat in Time at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 17 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Collectathon, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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Positive
ActionFast-Paced
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 645k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$39.99
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Very Positive
3D PlatformerAdventure
Sonic Generations Collection
2011
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Very Positive
PlatformerGreat Soundtrack
Roxy Raccoon's Bowling Bash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
too small to compare
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Est. revenue
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
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Positive
Bowling3D Platformer
Broll
2020
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≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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162 reviews
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3D PlatformerPhysics
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
Mugen Journey
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionCasual
Sonic Adventure 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGreat Soundtrack

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