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How many copies did Sonic Adventure 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
from 29k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sonic Adventure 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sonic Adventure 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–7.8M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Sonic Adventure 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–7.8M copies

≈ $17.1M–$37.5M after Steam's cut

from ~46k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Sonic Generations Collection
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerGreat Soundtrack
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World

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