How much revenue did Balloon Saga make?

$35k–$95k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Balloon Saga sell?

Q: How many copies did Balloon Saga sell?

645 to 1k copies, based on its 26 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 645–1k; $35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$147k before Steam's cut; from 26 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Balloon Saga and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Balloon Saga's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.6M

best case 12.8M (Assetto Corsa)

Games like Balloon Saga

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.6M copies

≈ $21.3M–$63.8M after Steam's cut

from ~69k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assetto Corsa at ≈ 9.8M–15.9M copies, ≈ $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 20k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assetto Corsa Competizione 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 2020 2020	Est. copies ≈ 990k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
eFootball™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	119k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Free to Play
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
NBA 2K20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports
Fishing Planet 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	FishingFree to Play
EA SPORTS FC™ 25 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	107k reviews Mixed	SportsFootball (Soccer)