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How many copies did Dino Drink sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dino Drink and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dino Drink's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 796k–1.3M
best case 1.5M (DDNet)
Games like Dino Drink

A typical game among these

≈ 796k–1.3M copies

≈ $1.1M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DDNet at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (3 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Precision Platformer.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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PlatformerPixel Graphics
Garfield Kart
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Cult ClassicCombat Racing
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3.2x vs typical
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Car Mechanic Simulator 2021
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≈ 963k–1.6M
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Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge
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≈ 714k–1.2M
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Automobile SimSimulation

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