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How many copies did Miner Ultra Rag Smash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$338–$907 after Steam's cut $614–$1k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Miner Ultra Rag Smash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Miner Ultra Rag Smash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 407–684
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like Miner Ultra Rag Smash

A typical game among these

≈ 407–684 copies

≈ $1k–$52k after Steam's cut

from ~20 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 17.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (6 of 8) and 2D Fighter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports. The breakout hits carry Basketball + Multiplayer + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
3020x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
Russian Drunken Boxers
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$24.99
15 reviews
Positive
BoxingSimulation
Archaeology - Egypt
2024
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut
$199.99
20 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Save Scream and Run
2024
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$199.99
21 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
A Sound Plan
2019
Est. copies
≈ 86–140
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$118–$318 after Steam's cut $215–$489 before Steam's cut
$4.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Local MultiplayerIndie
12 MiniBattles
2020
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$915 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
10 reviews
Positive
CasualSports
PixelGround
2022
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionPixel Graphics
Water Drift
2021
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$199.99
21 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.