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How many copies did SHUT IN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 112 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SHUT IN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SHUT IN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 23k (Mindlock - The Apartment)
Games like SHUT IN

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $2k–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~113 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mindlock - The Apartment at ≈ 17k–28k copies, ≈ $71k–$191k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 238.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Adventure + Point & Click; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mindlock - The Apartment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$71k–$191k after Steam's cut $129k–$294k before Steam's cut
$14.99
696 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Naked News
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$729–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
108 reviews
Mixed
CasualHorror
Dread X Collection 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut
$9.99
431 reviews
Very Positive
The Zodiac Trial
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
$14.99
151 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelChoose Your Own Adventure
Bobok
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$4.99
117 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelBased On A Novel
Cataplexy
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$801–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
59 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDark Comedy
The Specter's Desire
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$19.99
56 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel
Invasion of The Halloween Fiends
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$3.49
124 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThriller

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.