How much revenue did The Zodiac Trial make?

$15k–$42k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Zodiac Trial sell?

Q: How many copies did The Zodiac Trial sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 151 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $15k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut; from 151 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Zodiac Trial and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Zodiac Trial's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 222k–772k

best case 1.5M (The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series)

Games like The Zodiac Trial

A typical game among these

≈ 222k–772k copies

≈ $688k–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
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