How much revenue did The Test: Hypothesis Rising make?

$80k–$216k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Test: Hypothesis Rising sell?

Q: How many copies did The Test: Hypothesis Rising sell?

147k to 239k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 147k–239k; $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Test: Hypothesis Rising and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Test: Hypothesis Rising's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.2M

best case 1.6M (Volcano Princess)

Games like The Test: Hypothesis Rising

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.2M copies

≈ $8.2M–$15.7M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Volcano Princess at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Multiple Endings, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Dating Sim + Multiple Endings + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
Beholder 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$13.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Dystopian Choices Matter
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut 2023	Est. copies ≈ 856k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelChoices Matter
Tropico 6 2019	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	30k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy
Anno 1800 2019	Est. copies ≈ 935k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy