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How many copies did Beholder sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Beholder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Beholder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 75k–438k
best case 851k (Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You)
Games like Beholder

A typical game among these

≈ 75k–438k copies

≈ $406k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You at ≈ 648k–1.1M copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 705 reviews in their first month; the range was 179 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Dystopian (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Political Sim, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You
2016
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPolitical Sim
Do Not Feed the Monkeys
2018
Est. copies
≈ 388k–631k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$15.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPolitical Sim
Beholder 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$352k–$946k after Steam's cut $640k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Political SimSimulation
Not For Broadcast
2022
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure1980s
Beholder 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 248k–404k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$17.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Dystopian Strategy
Orwell: Ignorance is Strength
2018
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $292k–$664k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
The Shrouded Isle
2017
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$188k–$506k after Steam's cut $342k–$778k before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Political SimManagement
Song of Farca
2021
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$231k–$620k after Steam's cut $419k–$954k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich

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