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How many copies did The Shrouded Isle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 53k–86k
$188k–$506k after Steam's cut $342k–$778k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Shrouded Isle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Shrouded Isle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30k–3.2M
best case 3.7M (The Outlast Trials)
Games like The Shrouded Isle

A typical game among these

≈ 30k–3.2M copies

≈ $1.6M–$48.1M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Outlast Trials at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $30.7M–$82.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 22 to 45k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Economy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Co-op, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Do Not Feed the Monkeys
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Est. copies
≈ 388k–631k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
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13k reviews
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Point & ClickPolitical Sim
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≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$50k before Steam's cut
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EconomyPolitical
Barotrauma
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$21.5M–$57.8M after Steam's cut $39.1M–$88.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
90k reviews
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Co-opMultiplayer
The Outlast Trials
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.7M–$82.5M after Steam's cut $55.8M–$126.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
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Marry a Deep One: Innsmouth Simulator
2024
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≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$17.99
33 reviews
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
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Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
1.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
98k reviews
Very Positive

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