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How many copies did The Serpent Rogue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$45k–$121k after Steam's cut $82k–$187k before Steam's cut
from 331 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Serpent Rogue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Serpent Rogue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 965k–1.3M
best case 10.5M (Sons Of The Forest)
Games like The Serpent Rogue

A typical game among these

≈ 965k–1.3M copies

≈ $10.9M–$20.6M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Sons Of The Forest at ≈ 8.0M–12.9M copies, ≈ $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 57k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Open World + Base-Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Days Gone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldZombies
Green Hell
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Creativerse
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
31k reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationSandbox
V Rising
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$32.8M–$88.2M after Steam's cut $59.6M–$135.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Soulmask
2026
Est. copies
≈ 558k–907k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessSurvival
Far Cry® 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.5M after Steam's cut $27.4M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldFPS

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