How much revenue did Lost in Random™ make?

$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lost in Random™ sell?

Q: How many copies did Lost in Random™ sell?

131k to 214k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 131k–214k; $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost in Random™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost in Random™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–49k

best case 305k (Amnesia: Rebirth)

Games like Lost in Random™

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–49k copies

≈ $46k–$487k after Steam's cut

from ~443 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Amnesia: Rebirth at ≈ 232k–377k copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 96 reviews in their first month; the range was 39 to 3k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + First-Person, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Amnesia: Rebirth 2020	Est. copies ≈ 232k–377k 21x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Mostly Positive	Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Grimlord 2024	Est. copies ≈ 29k–46k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $236k–$634k after Steam's cut $429k–$975k before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	VRSouls-like
Crowhille - Detective Case Files VR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$5.99	93 reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Castlevania Advance Collection 2021	Est. copies ≈ 63k–103k 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $348k–$935k after Steam's cut $632k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaAction
LEGRAND LEGACY: Tale of the Fatebounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $77k–$208k after Steam's cut $141k–$320k before Steam's cut	$19.99	463 reviews Mixed	FishingOpen World
Shirone: the Dragon Girl 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut	$14.99	135 reviews Very Positive	ActionCute
Diluvian Ultra 2023	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$119k before Steam's cut	$9.99	422 reviews Mixed	FPSBoomer Shooter
Venture to the Vile 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $32k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut	$24.99	185 reviews Mostly Positive	NarrativeOpen World