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How many copies did Grimlord sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 29k–46k
$236k–$634k after Steam's cut $429k–$975k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grimlord and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grimlord's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 75k–603k
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Grimlord

A typical game among these

≈ 75k–603k copies

≈ $412k–$5.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (5 of 8) and Swordplay (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Steam Link
2015
Est. copies
≈ 360k–584k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Steam MachineSoftware
Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 759k–1.2M
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSingleplayer
Legendary Tales
2024
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
VROnline Co-Op
Timeless Paradox VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$19.99
48 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAction
Hellsplit: Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$783k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Tracery of Fate
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$19.99
142 reviews
Mostly Positive
ViolentVR
Disney•Pixar Cars 2: The Video Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 78k–126k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$427k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $777k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.