How much revenue did Tracery of Fate make?

$19k–$52k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tracery of Fate sell?

Q: How many copies did Tracery of Fate sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 142 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut; from 142 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tracery of Fate and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tracery of Fate's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–286k

best case 2.0M (Blade and Sorcery)

Games like Tracery of Fate

A typical game among these

≈ 32k–286k copies

≈ $170k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blade and Sorcery at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 256 reviews in their first month; the range was 48 to 49k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Gore (7 of 8) and Swordplay (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Swordplay, priced around $30.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hellsplit: Arena 2019	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $783k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Hellish Quart 2021	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$17.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessFighting
Blade and Sorcery 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 24x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	62k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRSwordplay
Tales Of Glory 2020	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut	$10.99	1k reviews Very Positive	ActionVR
Battle Talent 2023	Est. copies ≈ 32k–52k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $174k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$721k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	VRSwordplay
Swordsman VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $95k–$257k after Steam's cut $174k–$395k before Steam's cut	$19.99	700 reviews Mixed	VRAction
Gladius \| Gladiator VR Sword fighting 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut	$14.99	301 reviews Mostly Positive	VRGore
GORN 2019	Est. copies ≈ 237k–385k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	VRAction