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How many copies did A Guidebook of Babel sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–73k
$185k–$496k after Steam's cut $336k–$763k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Guidebook of Babel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Guidebook of Babel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–207k
best case 826k (Braid)
Games like A Guidebook of Babel

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–207k copies

≈ $206k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Braid at ≈ 629k–1.0M copies, ≈ $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 127 reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Gardens Between
2018
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$462k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $840k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ShortTime Manipulation
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Twelve Minutes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 201k–327k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAdventure
Eternal Threads
2022
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$513k before Steam's cut
$19.99
910 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Entropy Centre
2022
Est. copies
≈ 111k–180k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Metel - Horror Escape
2020
Est. copies
≈ 61k–100k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$50k–$136k after Steam's cut $92k–$209k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorIndie
The Sexy Brutale
2017
Est. copies
≈ 144k–233k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$790k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleMystery
What Lies in the Multiverse
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$308k before Steam's cut
$14.99
728 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerTime Manipulation

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