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How many copies did Move 78 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Move 78 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Move 78's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.4M
best case 4.2M (Helltaker)
Games like Move 78

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.4M copies

≈ $5.2M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Helltaker at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Demons + Puzzle.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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DetectiveVisual Novel
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
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RomanceDating Sim
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
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NudityMature
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2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective

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