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How many copies did Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 806k–1.3M
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
from 23k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 208k–387k
best case 349k (No Case Should Remain Unsolved)
Games like Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony

A typical game among these

≈ 208k–387k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Case Should Remain Unsolved at ≈ 266k–433k copies, ≈ $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 771 reviews in their first month; the range was 175 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + Puzzle, priced around $7.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Kathy Rain
2016
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$458k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $833k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickAdventure
Danganronpa Another Episode: Ultra Despair Girls
2017
Est. copies
≈ 270k–438k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFemale Protagonist
Scarlet Hollow
2021
Est. copies
≈ 132k–215k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessChoices Matter
Syberia: The World Before
2022
Est. copies
≈ 125k–204k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
No Case Should Remain Unsolved
2024
Est. copies
≈ 266k–433k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Interactive FictionPuzzle
Batman: The Enemy Within - The Telltale Series
2017
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
This Is the Police 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$826k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyStory Rich

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