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How many copies did No Case Should Remain Unsolved sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 266k–433k
$512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid No Case Should Remain Unsolved and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including No Case Should Remain Unsolved's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 285k–335k
best case 1.2M (LoveChoice)
Games like No Case Should Remain Unsolved

A typical game among these

≈ 285k–335k copies

≈ $1.1M–$2.4M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: LoveChoice at ≈ 910k–1.5M copies, ≈ $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 542 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Romance + Story Rich + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Visual NovelEmotional
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InvestigationTyping
LoveChoice
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≈ 910k–1.5M
4.0x vs typical
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RomanceDating Sim
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Choices MatterStory Rich
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FMVInteractive Fiction

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