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How many copies did Death and Taxes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 213k–346k
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Death and Taxes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Death and Taxes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.0M
best case 7.2M (This War of Mine)
Games like Death and Taxes

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies

≈ $6.0M–$11.6M after Steam's cut

from ~42k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choices Matter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: This War of Mine at ≈ 5.5M–8.9M copies, ≈ $30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Simulation + VR + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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