How much revenue did Otaku's Adventure make?

$504k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Otaku's Adventure sell?

Q: How many copies did Otaku's Adventure sell?

262k to 426k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 262k–426k; $504k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $917k–$2.1M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Otaku's Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Otaku's Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.2M

best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)

Games like Otaku's Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.2M copies

≈ $6.2M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 922 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Dating Sim (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Historical + Cooking + Interactive Fiction; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Find Love or Die Trying 2021	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dating SimVisual Novel
STEINS;GATE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Senren＊Banka 2020	Est. copies ≈ 923k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelNSFW
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
Our Life: Beginnings & Always 2020	Est. copies ≈ 342k–556k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelRomance
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! 2021	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical