How much revenue did Scarlet Hollow make?

$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Scarlet Hollow sell?

Q: How many copies did Scarlet Hollow sell?

132k to 215k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 132k–215k; $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scarlet Hollow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scarlet Hollow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 120k–260k

best case 1.3M (The Coffin of Andy and Leyley)

Games like Scarlet Hollow

A typical game among these

≈ 120k–260k copies

≈ $555k–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Coffin of Andy and Leyley at ≈ 982k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 28k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Choices Matter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Dark + Choices Matter + Visual Novel; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M 8.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
风信楼 2021	Est. copies ≈ 91k–148k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $301k–$809k after Steam's cut $547k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$11.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Multiple EndingsChoices Matter
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
Torment: Tides of Numenera 2017	Est. copies ≈ 151k–245k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGIsometric
Tiny Bunny 2025	Est. copies ≈ 761k–1.2M 7.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Horror
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children 2020	Est. copies ≈ 246k–399k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CRPGTactical RPG
School Days 2026	Est. copies ≈ 198k–321k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $815k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	8k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessRPG
Love Delivery 2022	Est. copies ≈ 65k–105k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $267k–$718k after Steam's cut $485k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dating SimSimulation