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How many copies did This Is the Police 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 200k–325k
$826k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid This Is the Police 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including This Is the Police 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–13.8M
best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like This Is the Police 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–13.8M copies

≈ $20.8M–$174.1M after Steam's cut

from ~105k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fantasy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 268k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
52k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFantasy
Two Point Hospital
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCard Game

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