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How many copies did Arc Wizards 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$980–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arc Wizards 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arc Wizards 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 651–2k
best case 326k (Anomaly Agent)
Games like Arc Wizards 3

A typical game among these

≈ 651–2k copies

≈ $572–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~31 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Anomaly Agent at ≈ 249k–404k copies, ≈ $820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Souls-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + 2D Platformer, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Hack and Slash + 2D Platformer + 2.5D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Under The Ghost Mountain
2021
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$237–$636 after Steam's cut $430–$978 before Steam's cut
$0.99
35 reviews
Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Astebros
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$12.99
57 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Undergod
2024
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $964–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
26 reviews
Positive
ActionRogue-like
Commander Tiberius Troubleson
2025
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$6.99
15 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Fallback
2019
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$131k before Steam's cut
$9.99
399 reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Koboo: The Tree Spirit
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$14.99
53 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRoguevania
Unrestricted Pest Control
2024
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$122–$326 after Steam's cut $221–$502 before Steam's cut
$0.99
18 reviews
Positive
ActionCasual
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
329x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.