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How many copies did Astebros sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 57 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astebros and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astebros's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 348k–1.4M
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like Astebros

A typical game among these

≈ 348k–1.4M copies

≈ $1.5M–$10.3M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 769 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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≈ 1.4M–2.3M
3.1x vs typical
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IndieAction
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CRPGAction Roguelike
暖雪 Warm Snow
2022
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
2.1x vs typical
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Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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2026
Est. copies
≈ 350k–568k
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$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessMultiplayer

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