How much revenue did Lost Castle 2 make?

$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lost Castle 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Lost Castle 2 sell?

350k to 568k copies, based on its 14k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 350k–568k; $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut; from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost Castle 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Castle 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–9.9M

best case 18.7M (Brawlhalla)

Games like Lost Castle 2

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–9.9M copies

≈ $12.2M–$88.9M after Steam's cut

from ~115k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Brawlhalla at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 103k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Rogue-like (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Brotato 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut	$4.99	119k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Risk of Rain 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.2M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	353k reviews Very Positive	Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Broforce 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	61k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AmericaAction
Brawlhalla 2017	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	413k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
SpeedRunners 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerRacing
EA SPORTS FC™ 24 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	111k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Sports
For The King 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	RPGOnline Co-Op
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG