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How many copies did SpeedRunners sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SpeedRunners and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SpeedRunners's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.8M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like SpeedRunners

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.8M copies

≈ $8.2M–$10.3M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Sports (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Physics + Massively Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
FlatOut 2
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$16.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingCombat Racing
F1® 22
2022
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mixed
RacingImmersive Sim
Sonic & All-Stars Racing Transformed Collection
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RacingLocal Multiplayer
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
F1® 2021
2021
Est. copies
≈ 863k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
35k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
Sonic Adventure 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGreat Soundtrack

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.