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How many copies did This rain will never end - noir adventure detective sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid This rain will never end - noir adventure detective and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including This rain will never end - noir adventure detective's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–101k
best case 230k (1000xRESIST)
Games like This rain will never end - noir adventure detective

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–101k copies

≈ $40k–$549k after Steam's cut

from ~485 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 1000xRESIST at ≈ 175k–284k copies, ≈ $962k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 152 reviews in their first month; the range was 33 to 504.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (3 of 8) and Thriller (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Thriller, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

We. The Revolution
2019
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$394k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $716k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
HistoricalChoices Matter
1000xRESIST
2024
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$962k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistThriller
Fumiko!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$6.99
113 reviews
Very Positive
Artificial IntelligenceDystopian
She Sees Red - Interactive Movie
2019
Est. copies
≈ 91k–149k
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$201k–$540k after Steam's cut $365k–$831k before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Choices MatterFMV
Stifled - Echolocation Horror Mystery
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
$19.99
109 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAdventure
Blind Drive
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut
$9.99
370 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
Tsugunohi
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$45k–$121k after Steam's cut $82k–$186k before Steam's cut
$10.99
600 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAdventure
Stories of Liane
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
112 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessDark

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