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How many copies did Dark Flowers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$229–$617 after Steam's cut $417–$949 before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Flowers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Flowers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 814–2k
best case 15k (My Name is Mayo 2)
Games like Dark Flowers

A typical game among these

≈ 814–2k copies

≈ $2k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~32 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: My Name is Mayo 2 at ≈ 11k–18k copies, ≈ $3k–$8k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 69.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (7 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Clicker + Simulation, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Funny + Comic Book; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Swipe Fruit Smash
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$4.99
48 reviews
Mixed
Time ManagementPuzzle-Platformer
Fallen Flowers
2021
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$162–$436 after Steam's cut $295–$670 before Steam's cut
$0.99
24 reviews
Positive
CasualRPG
My Name is Mayo 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$0.99
455 reviews
Very Positive
ClickerSimulation
Where wh..?
2024
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Positive
Exploration3D Platformer
三九
2024
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$5.99
32 reviews
Positive
CasualInteractive Fiction
DREAM TIME
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$7.99
23 reviews
Positive
PuzzleSingleplayer
Bauhaus Bonk
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$7.99
81 reviews
Very Positive
Precision PlatformerPuzzle-Platformer
Raven's Hike
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer

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