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How many copies did Fallen Flowers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$162–$436 after Steam's cut $295–$670 before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fallen Flowers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallen Flowers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–29k
best case 187k (Vampires' Melody)
Games like Fallen Flowers

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–29k copies

≈ $18k–$79k after Steam's cut

from ~418 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampires' Melody at ≈ 142k–231k copies, ≈ $156k–$419k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 191 reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and JRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Interactive Fiction, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Interactive Fiction + Vampire + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampires' Melody
2020
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$156k–$419k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut
$3.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelCasual
Vampires' Melody 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 26k–41k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$116k before Steam's cut
$3.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionVisual Novel
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主
2025
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$260k–$698k after Steam's cut $472k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
~Be a maid in the Demon World~ The Secret Café of the Demon Angel Hero.
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$48k–$129k after Steam's cut $87k–$198k before Steam's cut
$18.99
370 reviews
Mostly Positive
Dating SimCute
Mandemon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$2.99
373 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
月球坠落时 Moon Fall
2021
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$110k–$297k after Steam's cut $201k–$457k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentRPG
冷血症骰子
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before Steam's cut
$7.99
312 reviews
Very Positive
IndieRPG
Sweet House
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$1.99
462 reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentMature

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