Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Vampires' Melody 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 26k–41k
$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$116k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vampires' Melody 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vampires' Melody 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 21k–129k
best case 315k (Aliya: Timelink)
Games like Vampires' Melody 2

A typical game among these

≈ 21k–129k copies

≈ $209k–$404k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Aliya: Timelink at ≈ 240k–390k copies, ≈ $197k–$530k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 277 reviews in their first month; the range was 92 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + Visual Novel, priced around $3.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Aliya: Timelink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 240k–390k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$197k–$530k after Steam's cut $359k–$816k before Steam's cut
$2.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGInteractive Fiction
Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$147k–$396k after Steam's cut $268k–$609k before Steam's cut
$29.99
720 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualAdventure
Kanna Maze
2024
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$3.99
394 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
恋爱绮谭 不存在的真相
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$211k–$568k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before Steam's cut
$13.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionWord Game
Ru Lin Wai Shi Fan Jin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$5.99
148 reviews
Very Positive
恋爱绮谭~不存在的夏天~
2020
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$181k–$487k after Steam's cut $329k–$749k before Steam's cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelMystery
Aonatsu Line
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$242k–$652k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring
2021
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$672k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$13.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureMystery

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.