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How many copies did Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$147k–$396k after Steam's cut $268k–$609k before Steam's cut
from 720 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–824k
best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)
Games like Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–824k copies

≈ $302k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 963 reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Visual NovelCasual
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1.8x vs typical
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The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
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≈ 1.5M–2.4M
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Visual NovelHistorical
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Visual NovelPixel Graphics
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MatureHentai
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≈ 853k–1.4M
2.7x vs typical
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$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
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Love is All Around: Echoes of Yesterday
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≈ 55k–89k
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AdventureRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.