How much revenue did 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 make?

$260k–$698k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 sell?

Q: How many copies did 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 sell?

95k to 154k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 95k–154k; $260k–$698k after Steam's cut $472k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.1M

best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)

Games like 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.1M copies

≈ $6.3M–$35.5M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (5 of 8) and Dating Sim (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Dark Fantasy + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M 6.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity