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How many copies did Hero Park sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
from 48 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hero Park and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hero Park's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–5.4M
best case 9.9M (RimWorld)
Games like Hero Park

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–5.4M copies

≈ $11.7M–$66.6M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (6 of 8) and Base-Building (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Dwarf Fortress
2022
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Going Medieval
2026
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
RPGEarly Access
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Kenshi
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut $53.3M–$121.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
117k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSandbox
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building

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