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How many copies did Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$323k before Steam's cut
from 881 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.7M
best case 3.9M (Brotato)
Games like Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies

≈ $7.7M–$14.0M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Brotato at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 108 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 8) and Arena Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Action Roguelike, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Foxhole
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Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.9M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Mostly Positive
Massively MultiplayerWargame
Super Animal Royale
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Waves 2: Notorious
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Free
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327 reviews
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Danger Scavenger
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor
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Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
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PvPMultiplayer
Glitchpunk
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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253 reviews
Mixed
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