How much revenue did Outcasts of Orion make?

$735–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Outcasts of Orion sell?

Q: How many copies did Outcasts of Orion sell?

670 to 1k copies, based on its 27 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 670–1k; $735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outcasts of Orion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outcasts of Orion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 72k–146k

best case 377k (Luck be a Landlord)

Games like Outcasts of Orion

A typical game among these

≈ 72k–146k copies

≈ $262k–$961k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Luck be a Landlord at ≈ 287k–467k copies, ≈ $789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 998 to 7k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Procedural Generation + Simulation + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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