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How big is Jamie's Toy Box?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 744–1k
from 30 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Jamie's Toy Box and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Jamie's Toy Box's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.5M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Jamie's Toy Box

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.5M copies

≈ $15.1M–$41.3M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (8 of 8) and Sandbox (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Jurassic World Evolution 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.3M–$51.9M after Steam's cut $35.1M–$79.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursBuilding
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.0M after Steam's cut $67.6M–$153.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
72k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Brick Rigs
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.0M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxDestruction
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Bulk Dominoes VR: Kinetic Rush
2020
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.