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How many copies did Whisper Trip sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 105 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Whisper Trip and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Whisper Trip's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 321k–563k
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like Whisper Trip

A typical game among these

≈ 321k–563k copies

≈ $1.8M–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Cyberpunk (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 442 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cyberpunk (4 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Action RPG + Looter Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
71x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Watch Dogs®: Legion
2023
Est. copies
≈ 314k–510k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
13k reviews
Mixed
ActionOpen World
Wolfenstein: Youngblood
2019
Est. copies
≈ 460k–747k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Mixed
ActionCo-op
E.Y.E: Divine Cybermancy
2011
Est. copies
≈ 508k–825k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkRPG
The Surge 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
Due Process
2020
Est. copies
≈ 212k–345k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$583k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAdventure
HUNTDOWN
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite

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