How much revenue did 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend make?

$463–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend sell?

Q: How many copies did 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend sell?

422 to 685 copies, based on its 17 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 422–685; $463–$1k after Steam's cut $842–$2k before Steam's cut; from 17 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 290k–721k

best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)

Games like 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend

A typical game among these

≈ 290k–721k copies

≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 256 to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Summer Pockets 2020	Est. copies ≈ 123k–200k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$44.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
eden* 2015	Est. copies ≈ 257k–418k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT 2023	Est. copies ≈ 216k–351k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Knowledge, or know Lady 2024	Est. copies ≈ 223k–362k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $779k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$6.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentDating Sim
Find Love or Die Trying 2021	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dating SimVisual Novel
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
CLANNAD 2015	Est. copies ≈ 538k–874k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before Steam's cut	$44.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime