How much revenue did WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT make?

$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT sell?

Q: How many copies did WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT sell?

216k to 351k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 216k–351k; $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–158k

best case 160k (Fate/stay night REMASTERED)

Games like WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–158k copies

≈ $538k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fate/stay night REMASTERED at ≈ 122k–199k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 267 reviews in their first month; the range was 71 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Anime, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
fault - milestone one 2014	Est. copies ≈ 181k–295k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $748k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Magical Diary: Horse Hall 2012	Est. copies ≈ 64k–105k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $266k–$714k after Steam's cut $483k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim
Tyrion Cuthbert: Attorney of the Arcane 2023	Est. copies ≈ 44k–72k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $367k–$987k after Steam's cut $667k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
9-nine-:Episode 3 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26k–43k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $144k–$387k after Steam's cut $262k–$596k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	CasualVisual Novel
9-nine-:Episode 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $318k–$856k after Steam's cut $579k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentVisual Novel
Hustle Cat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $300k–$807k after Steam's cut $546k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelIndie
Umineko When They Cry - Question Arcs 2016	Est. copies ≈ 120k–195k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackVisual Novel
Fate/stay night REMASTERED 2024	Est. copies ≈ 122k–199k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime