How much revenue did Magical Diary: Horse Hall make?

$266k–$714k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Magical Diary: Horse Hall sell?

Q: How many copies did Magical Diary: Horse Hall sell?

64k to 105k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 64k–105k; $266k–$714k after Steam's cut $483k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magical Diary: Horse Hall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Diary: Horse Hall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–28.2M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Magical Diary: Horse Hall

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–28.2M copies

≈ $6.5M–$150.0M after Steam's cut

from ~114k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	86k reviews Very Positive	MMORPGRPG
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 9.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings