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How many copies did The Stonks Market sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 868–1k
$714–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 35 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Stonks Market and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Stonks Market's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 580k–719k
best case 1.6M (Volcano Princess)
Games like The Stonks Market

A typical game among these

≈ 580k–719k copies

≈ $2.8M–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Volcano Princess at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (8 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayVisual Novel
Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimComedy
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You
2016
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPolitical Sim

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