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How many copies did Shell Out Showdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shell Out Showdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shell Out Showdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 521–814
best case 2.9M (Ultimate Chicken Horse)
Games like Shell Out Showdown

A typical game among these

≈ 521–814 copies

≈ $2k after Steam's cut

from ~18 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Ultimate Chicken Horse at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 162.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party Game (7 of 8) and 4 Player Local (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Funny + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Which Way Up: Galaxy Games
2025
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$14.99
29 reviews
Positive
4 Player LocalPhysics
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2987x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Squarena
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
18 reviews
Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
SMYS : Show Me Your Stairs
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$11.99
16 reviews
Positive
Party GameLocal Multiplayer
Regular Human Basketball
2018
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $33k–$74k before Steam's cut
$4.99
430 reviews
Very Positive
MechsBasketball
Fairyfail
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
16 reviews
Positive
ActionLocal Multiplayer
Knock'Em Out
2025
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$7.99
356 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Dunk Dunk
2025
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$6.99
25 reviews
Positive
Party GameLocal Multiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.