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How many copies did Ultimate Chicken Horse sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
from 54k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ultimate Chicken Horse and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultimate Chicken Horse's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.4M
best case 2.6M (Party Animals)
Games like Ultimate Chicken Horse

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–2.4M copies

≈ $7.1M–$15.1M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Party Animals at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 57 to 30k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party Game (5 of 8) and Party (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Co-op, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Move or Die
2016
Est. copies
≈ 970k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction RPG
Draw & Guess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 874k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
PartyMultiplayer
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes
2015
Est. copies
≈ 838k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opLocal Multiplayer
Party Animals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
79k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Wobbly Life
2025
Est. copies
≈ 899k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureMultiplayer
Pummel Party
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics

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