How much revenue did BLACK WITCHCRAFT make?

$10k–$27k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did BLACK WITCHCRAFT sell?

Q: How many copies did BLACK WITCHCRAFT sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 150 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $19k–$42k before Steam's cut; from 150 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BLACK WITCHCRAFT and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including BLACK WITCHCRAFT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 207k–3.9M

best case 7.5M (Assassin's Creed® Odyssey)

Games like BLACK WITCHCRAFT

A typical game among these

≈ 207k–3.9M copies

≈ $3.8M–$90.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Odyssey at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Third Person (2 of 3) and Action RPG (1 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M 25x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Steelrising 2022	Est. copies ≈ 184k–300k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Souls-likeAtmospheric
Lost in Random™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 131k–214k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction